Dan Tohatan - Climate

Update On Latest Events

Dan Tohatan (Admin) — Tue, 05 May 2009 01:24:23 GMT

Haven't had much time to update the blog lately, but here's my take on the latest events...

Swine flu: Dry run for martial law. Mexico was on the verge of financial & social collapse. Obama just finished 100 days in office. US treasuries were in trouble. In a prior secret meeting in 2008, the US congress discussed the imminent collapse of US finances by May of 2009. How convenient then to have a "pandemic" at this point. It's a total diversion from more important issues at best, and at worst a pretext for governments to launch full-blown martial law. No more talk about torture or prosecuting Bush admin officials. WHO is at level 5 now. Level 6 means the US government has the authority to apprehend any individual and detain him/her indefinitely and seize his/her property without warrant. This authority was given by a piece of legislation passed in the summer of 2008 which specificially mentions "threat of influenza pandemic" as a potential event that would trigger martial law. All of this is documented on infowars.com.
Do not panic, yet: Although governments around the world have full authority now to do whatever they want, it doesn't necessarily mean that they will. Just because I can jump off a bridge doesn't mean I will. At this point, it's a matter of wait & see. In the meantime, we must all do our best to inform our fellow citizens in any way possible that the government is not on our side. The government is owned by individuals who want to see the world's population reduced to 500 million. Does this mean they will? Maybe, maybe not. But their stated intent is clear. It's like living next door to a person who has threatened to kill you. It's only a matter of time.
Anthropogenic global warming is a convenient lie: I have to throw this in here because of all the nonsense I keep hearing about anthropogenic global warming. It's false. It's a politically-motivated lie. The world is warming, but your car is not causing it. If anything, we should be putting more CO2 into the atmosphere. Plants need CO2 to grow. Studies have shown that trees grow bigger if their supply of CO2 is greater. The greatest limiting factor on plant growth is lack of CO2. Plants produce oxygen and clean out toxins from the air. If you want to support a greener planet, put more CO2 into the air. Lastly, CO2 is not a pollutant. It's what humans breathe out. Do you want a tax on breathing? Oh right, I forgot, you're a sheep! BAAAAH!

Well I'm done. Not much time to blog these days but I'll be back in about a week with another summary of this kind. I find it fun to rant as long as it's a meaningful rant.

Humans Are Not Causing Global Warming

Dan Tohatan (Admin) — Sat, 21 Feb 2009 08:24:23 GMT

I shall attempt to prove once and for all that the theory of manmade global warming is a fraud.

Let's start by proving that (at least in theory), CO2 does cause a greenhouse effect.

A simple physics law is all we need.
It's called Wien's Law.

What is Wien's Law? It's a formula that relates the temperature of an object to the wavelength of light it emits. Why is it important? Because as you'll see, CO2 only absorbs a few precise wavelengths - corresponding to a small temperature range...

Most objects on Earth emit infrared light (according to Wien's Law). The greenhouse effect consists of the reflection (absorption & re-emission) of infrared light back to the Earth's surface. So what's important - in order to quantify the greenhouse effect that CO2 has - is to compare the wavelengths emitted by the Earth to the wavelengths absorbed by CO2. Where there is absorption, you have the greenhouse effect. Where there's no absorption, there's no greenhouse effect.

The CO2 absorption spectrum indicates that CO2 absorbs in the range of 15 microns to 25 microns, 4 to 5 microns, and a narrow band around 2.6 to 2.8 microns. The first band corresponds to a temperature of 116*K to 193*K. The second band is 579*K to 724*K (which makes it irrelevant because it's over 300*C), and the third band is totally irrelevant because it's over 800*K (500*C).

So the only relevant band of absorption occurs between -157*C and -80*C, where the absorption done by CO2 is virtually total (i.e. 100%). So we should expect that CO2 prevents temperatures on Earth from falling below -80*C. And that is indeed the case because if you check out Antarctica, the lowest temperature recorded there is -89*C. Or, if you check out Mars whose atmosphere is 100% CO2, the lowest temperature recorded there is -87*C (even higher than on Earth!).

But when it comes to temperatures above -80*C, it gets really interesting. Take a look at Wien's Law again. Notice how the intensity of emission drops off on the right. Basically, if you have a surface at -30*C (average winter temperature in Nunavut), how much will be emitted in the wavelength that CO2 needs in order to produce a greenhouse effect?

After consulting this handy calculator (scroll down), it turns out that over 30% of the energy emitted by an object at -29*C is absorbed by CO2. I didn't bother to do the exact integration, but a rough visual calculation of the area under the curve gives 67 W/m2 absorbed by CO2, out of 195 W/m2, resulting in a percentage of 34%. Since -29*C is a regular temperature in the arctic in the winter, this means CO2 has a huge impact on temperature up there. The impact is reduced at higher temperatures because the Wien curve shifts toward smaller wavelengths.

The next question is, how much CO2 (what concentration) is necessary to achieve the full absorption potential? The answer is 1 molecule per 15 cubic microns. How much is that? CO2 weighs 7.3e-26 kg. The volume is 1.5e-17 cubic meters. So the answer is 4.9e-9 kg/m3. What is the mass of a cubic metre of air? 1.29 kg/m3. That means we need 3.8e-9 kg CO2/kg air. 1 kg/kg is 1 million ppm. So to find ppm we need to multiply by 1 million. The result: 0.0038 ppm. That's 3.8 ppb!

How much CO2 do we have today? ... 380 ppm! How much did we have before the industrial age? 270 ppm. Keep in mind it only takes 3.8 ppb of CO2 to achieve the full greenhouse effect of CO2.

Conclusion? The CO2 we added to the atmosphere makes no difference, because the greenhouse effect was already 100% before the industrial age.

NOTE: This article may be revised in the future if I come across new information.

Global Cooling is Back!

Dan Tohatan (Admin) — Thu, 28 Feb 2008 02:22:57 GMT

The following is quoted from: http://www.dailytech.com/Temperature+Monitors+Report+Worldwide+Global+Cooling/article10866.htm
"
Temperature Monitors Report Widescale Global Cooling
Michael Asher (Blog) - February 26, 2008 12:55 PM

Twelve-month long drop in world temperatures wipes out a century of warming

Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile -- the list goes on and on.

No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe out nearly all the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year's time. For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn't itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

Let's hope those factors stop fast. Cold is more damaging than heat. The mean temperature of the planet is about 54 degrees. Humans -- and most of the crops and animals we depend on -- prefer a temperature closer to 70.

Historically, the warm periods such as the Medieval Climate Optimum were beneficial for civilization. Corresponding cooling events such as the Little Ice Age, though, were uniformly bad news.

(Update 2/27: Anthony Watts, who kindly provided the graphics herein, otherwise has no connection with the column. The views and comments are those of the author only.)
"

I can tell you one thing, global cooling has certainly made its mark here in Toronto. Just look at the weather forecast for February 28 and take a look at the frozen mountains of snow outside. There was no February thaw this year.