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  <title>Sheepocracy</title>
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  <updated>2008-10-24T20:24:20.6214336-04:00</updated>
  <author>
    <name>Dan Tohatan</name>
  </author>
  <subtitle>Real News. Real Commentary. Real Life.</subtitle>
  <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/</id>
  <generator uri="http://www.dasblog.net" version="1.9.7174.0">DasBlog</generator>
  <entry>
    <title>Dire Predictions Fulfilled</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/10/25/DirePredictionsFulfilled.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b0b196af-ab5c-49d5-b64c-91bd0a260608.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-10-24T20:24:20.6214336-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-10-24T20:24:20.6214336-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Remember <a href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/08/09/DirePredictions.aspx">this
post</a> I made on August 8, 2008?<br /><br />
In that post I called for $640 gold, $1100 platinum, $11 silver, $200 palladium, and
Canadian dollar at 84 cents. I also predicted that the US would pull out of Iraq,
and predicted that oil would slide to $55 a barrel. My prediction was that all of
these things would happen before the US elections.<br /><br />
Let's look at just how remarkably right my predictions were.<br /><br />
When I made that post, prices were as follows:<br />
Crude oil: $120/barrel<br />
Gold: $870/oz<br />
Silver: $16/oz<br />
Platinum: $1550/oz<br />
Palladium: $350/oz<br />
Canadian dollar: 94 cents US<br /><br />
Today's lows?<br />
Crude oil: $62/barrel (Prediction: $55)<br />
Gold: $680/oz (Prediction: $640)<br />
Silver: $8.60/oz (Prediction: $11)<br />
Platinum: $760/oz (Prediction: $1100)<br />
Palladium: $165/oz (Prediction: $200)<br />
Canadian dollar: 79 cents US<br /><br />
Clearly some of the prices overshot to the downside but that's to be expected in any
bear market.<br /><br />
So what about my prediction that the US would pull out of Iraq in October? Well, let's
see...<br /><br /><a href="http://www.gulfnews.com/region/Iraq/10254229.html">US to pull out of Iraq
within a timeframe of 18 months (Obama) to 48 months (McCain).</a><br /><br /><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/18/washington/18military.html">US forces to
withdraw from Iraqi territory no later than Dec. 31, 2011.</a><br /><br />
I strongly encourage you to read both those articles so you can see for yourself that
this Iraq timeline is a very important (and recent) development, and it applies to
both Obama and McCain.<br /><br />
Stay tuned for the bitter-sweet celebration of the fulfillment of my final prediction:
McCain becomes President.<br /><p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b0b196af-ab5c-49d5-b64c-91bd0a260608" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>CFR: US Dollar a Historical Anomaly</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/10/21/CFRUSDollarAHistoricalAnomaly.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,da88ca7e-69c3-4e1a-897a-8e488bd02b53.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-10-20T20:38:28.8120000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-10-20T20:40:09.7794637-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <category term="History" label="History" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,History.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">It's official: The <b>Council on Foreign
Relations</b> now calls the US dollar a "historical anomaly," a "piece of paper of
no intrinsic merit."<br /><br />
Check it out - <a href="http://www.cfr.org/publication/15288/grant.html">straight
from the horse's mouth</a>.<p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=da88ca7e-69c3-4e1a-897a-8e488bd02b53" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Say Hello to the Globo</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/10/11/SayHelloToTheGlobo.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,891c30d9-df7c-4782-96e1-44154f124161.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-10-10T21:40:28.2110895-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-10-10T21:40:28.2110895-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">What is the <b>Globo</b>?<br /><br />
By now, you should have heard about the Euro, as it is Europe's currency. If you look
hard enough you can also find something about the Amero - a proposed currency for
North America. But the Globo?<br /><br />
The globo is the <a href="http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1222350050.php">global
currency to be imposed by Russia, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Japan, China, the EU, Canada,
Australia, and possibly the UK, in a joint effort to detach themselves from the US
dollar</a>.<br /><br />
Why do all countries want to detach themselves from the US dollar? Are they even attached
to the US dollar to begin with?<br /><br />
Unless you've been living under a rock, you should know about the Bretton Woods agreement
signed after World War II that gave the then-gold-backed US dollar reserve currency
status for the entire world. The dollar then was said to be "as good as gold," and
was in fact 100% backed by gold. $35 was an ounce of gold - literally.<br /><br />
In 1971, after a decade of deficit spending on the Vietnam War, Apollo, and Great
Society programs, the US had to end the Bretton Woods agreement. The US-gold link
had come under pressure from France and the UK which were buying up gold like mad
and dumping US dollars, knowing that dollars were intrinsically worth less than gold.
Thus, Richard Nixon was forced to terminate the Bretton Woods agreement on August
15, 1971. What followed was a decade of inflation known as the "stagflation" era,
after the dollar essentially became a worthless piece of paper.<br /><br />
However, in the early 1980s, after the middle east was driven into bankruptcy, a new
deal was established with the Arab nations (except for Iraq and Iran), whereby those
countries would sell their oil in exchange for US dollars, which they would then keep
in gigantic savings accounts - called "reserves" - for ever &amp; ever &amp; ever
(because if they ever spent those dollars, the US would experience hyperinflation
and the US empire would come to an abrupt end).<br /><br />
During the Reagan, Bush, and Clinton years, a new kind of American imperialism flourished,
where the US struck deals with increasingly more countries for those countries to
purchase enormous amounts of US dollars (like the Arabs did) to finance a growing
US debt. Japan is now the world's foremost holder of US dollars. China also holds
a lot of dollars. Keep in mind that the dollar is nothing but worthless paper. Worse
still, all the countries holding US dollars must be forced (coerced) NOT to sell those
dollars because if they ever did, the US would suffer a Zimbabwe-like hyperinflation.<br /><br />
Today, virtually every country in the world holds large quantities of US dollars in
reserve. The US dollar is a price-fixed currency. The US treasury (or more accurately
the Federal Reserve) sets the price of the dollar. The dollar has no purchasing power,
because it's a worthless piece of paper. However, the Fed gives it the illusion of
value by DECREEING what its value is. It does so by simply readjusting the number
of dollars in circulation. The dollar is a FIAT currency (FIAT implies "by government
decree").<br /><br />
Whenever the value of the dollar is driven upwards (by the Fed selling treasury bonds),
all other countries suffer because their own currencies inflate relative to the dollar.
Thus, it becomes harder for those countries to purchase things (like oil) on the market,
because those things are sold in US dollars. However, if the dollar is driven downwards
(if the Fed buys treasury bonds), the US dollar reserves of the other countries now
become less valuable. Furthermore, the rapid appreciation in the domestic currencies
of the other countries causes problems for exporters. So you can see why the more
volatility there is in the dollar, the harder it is for other countries to maintain
stable economies.<br /><br />
For countries other than the US, the US dollar as a reserve currency is extremely
detrimental. The current system of US dollar hegemony (where the dollar is used as
the de-facto global currency) is an offshoot of American imperialism and is a way
for the US to control world markets.<br /><br />
The problem we are faced with today is an impending devaluation of global currencies
(other than the dollar). The Canadian dollar has been devalued enormously this week.
The Australian dollar has been totally decimated. Every currency other than the US
dollar has been falling. The Japanese Yen thankfully was spared, but if the US has
its way, all other currencies will be devalued massively. Why? Because the US must
inflate away its debt. In order to do that, it has to print more dollars. It can only
do that while maintaining stable prices (otherwise inflation will result). The ONLY
way to do that is by devaluing the currencies of ALL OTHER COUNTRIES.<br /><br />
So China, Japan, Russia, and other economically-strong countries are now deciding
(behind closed doors) that in order to maintain some kind of economic stability, they
must - ASAP - decouple their currencies from the US dollar. The only way to do that
is by making some other currency the global reserve currency, and therefore forcing
the US dollar to be valued against that currency. And that currency is the Globo.<br /><br />
So as not to repeat the mistakes of the past, the countries proposing the Globo have
decided that it will be backed 100% by gold. In other words, the Globo is gold. Therefore,
gold will be the new global currency. One ounce of gold will be worth exactly G2461.
(G=Globo)<br /><p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=891c30d9-df7c-4782-96e1-44154f124161" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Yom Kippur War II</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/10/01/YomKippurWarII.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,32c4e7e3-7ce6-46a9-93cc-80eb4dfebc11.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-09-30T22:03:05.9760000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-09-30T22:04:16.5993580-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="html">&lt;p&gt;
This year, Yom Kippur falls on October 8th, 2008.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Web Bots are saying there will be an important 9/11-like event on October
7th:&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;object width="425" height="344"&gt;
&lt;param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Sdef1yNz2ms&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1"&gt;&gt;
&lt;param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"&gt;&gt;&lt;embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Sdef1yNz2ms&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;
&lt;/object&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
This correlates with my earlier prediction that &lt;a href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/09/26/DaysAwayFromWorldWarIII.aspx"&gt;we
are "days away" from a world-changing event&lt;/a&gt;.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=32c4e7e3-7ce6-46a9-93cc-80eb4dfebc11" /&gt;</content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Long vs. Short: Short Always Wins</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/09/30/LongVsShortShortAlwaysWins.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,9282f60c-de35-430a-a2c8-db1da2fccf25.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-09-30T00:17:45.6206896-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-09-30T00:17:45.6206896-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
The common wisdom of Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and other great investment mentors
has always been that you should pick an asset that you believe is undervalued, and
go long (purchase and hold that asset) for many years as its value increases exponentially.
However, since the introduction of short selling, this age-old wisdom could not be
more wrong.
</p>
        <p>
In today's market, it is far more advantageous to be <strong>short</strong> for the
long term, than to be long. The reason is simple: when you are <em>long</em>, you
are paying a price for holding an asset that may or may not appreciate in value. Every
day that you hold that asset, you are missing out on the interest that you would otherwise
earn if you had <em>not</em> purchased that asset and instead kept your money in a
savings account. However, when you are <em>short</em>, you don't have to pay that
price. You borrow the asset at a specific lease rate. If the lease rate is less than
the interest rate that you would earn in a savings account, then you are actually
being <em>paid</em> for being short.
</p>
        <p>
Nowadays, it is very hard to find an asset that grows by more than the interest rate
in most savings accounts. It is (and has always been) very risky. However, it is very
easy to find a bank that will lend you a particular asset (e.g. gold) at a near-zero
lease rate. You then sell that gold immediately, pocket the money, and put it in a
savings account where the growth rate is guaranteed. If gold goes down, you cover
your short and make extra profits. If gold goes up, you simply double your short position.
As long as the rate of return in gold does not exceed the rate of return of the savings
account with virtually <em>no</em> volatility, you can <em>always</em> eventually
cover your short position for a profit or simply use the interest to gradually cover
your short.
</p>
        <p>
Longs are getting killed, especially in the precious metals, precisely because shorts
are always fundamentally favored. Lease rates on gold and silver are almost always
zero or negative. Negative lease rates mean that you actually get <em>paid</em> for <em>borrowing</em> gold!
</p>
        <p>
In recent news, the SEC banned short sales on all stocks. Too many ordinary people
had caught on that short selling big financial firms could be extremely profitable.
However, despite the short ban, the Dow plunged 7% today. Yet, the SEC remains silent
on the shorting of commodities. If you cannot see the political agenda here, you are
blind.
</p>
        <p>
Bottom line - as long as short selling commodities is fundamentally favored by the
banks (through low or negative lease rates), it is far more profitable to be short
than long. Last month, three banks shorted one tenth of the yearly supply of gold
(that's 250 tons), causing a devastating plunge in the gold price - all the way from
$990 to $745 with no rebound. The shorts made it out with a 33% profit, even though
they never sold any physical gold. The longs got destroyed. This is the sad reality
of the "free market" casino. If you want to make money, you better be short, because
long just doesn't pay.
</p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=9282f60c-de35-430a-a2c8-db1da2fccf25" />
      </div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Days Away From World War III</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/09/26/DaysAwayFromWorldWarIII.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,f3aeb391-216f-421b-b4bb-95c32406b677.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-09-26T00:50:25.9110000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-09-26T00:54:21.7097684-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Personal" label="Personal" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Personal.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
We are mere days away from some VERY big news.
</p>
        <p>
There is a greater chance than ever that the world will be VERY different by October
1.
</p>
        <p>
Yom Kippur is approaching, and the Russians have expressed great fear of a <a href="http://www.fourwinds10.com/siterun_data/government/war/bushs_iran_war/news.php?q=1220550516">second
Yom Kippur War</a>, between Israel and Iran. They are intent on "preventing" it, by
launching an earlier strike in Iran - September 28th.
</p>
        <p>
Israel has been positioning itself in Georgia, in order to invade Iran. NATO bases
have been built in Georgia. Georgia represents the perfect strategic location (other
than Iraq) for attacking Iran. Iran is now surrounded by enemies: Iraq, Georgia, and
Afghanistan - all are now occupied either by the US (NATO) or Russia.
</p>
        <p>
Russia has positioned itself in Georgia and Syria. Take a look at what countries border
Georgia and Syria. The US is in Iraq, ready to help Israel with its Yom Kippur Iran
invasion. Russia will attack Iraq from Syria and Iran from Georgia, and the US will
not know what hit it.
</p>
        <p>
Prophet Alois Irlmaier sees "two eights and a nine" for the start date of World War
III. 9/28/2008.
</p>
        <p>
Congress is going on vacation at the end of this week. McCain has decided not to show
up for the debate in Mississippi. Americans will be totally taken by surprise by the
events that are about to unfold.
</p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=f3aeb391-216f-421b-b4bb-95c32406b677" />
      </div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Mad As Hell</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/09/19/MadAsHell.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,bc69fa16-2867-43b2-ab58-7a14e014bdea.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-09-19T19:21:24.6330000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-09-19T19:24:55.0490214-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Guess what, American taxpayers just got
SCREWED OVER by their OWN government! The government just used their OWN money to
erase the debts of PRIVATE COMPANIES.<br /><br />
If you're an American, now would be a good time to yell, "I'm as MAD as HELL, and
I'm not going to take it anymore!"<br /><br />
Here's a video from Don Harrold that should get you fired up:<br /><br /><br /><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Jen6d8zlVI8&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Jen6d8zlVI8&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object><br /><br />
This is the greatest example of government tyranny since the days of Nazi Germany.
Everyone should be up in arms. But the ignorant debt-slave sheeple are just happy
that they still have their low-paying jobs at Walmart or McDonald's and their infinite
lines of credit, while owning NOTHING.<br />
 <br />
Way to go America, land of the FREE, home of the BRAVE.<p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=bc69fa16-2867-43b2-ab58-7a14e014bdea" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Indeflation: The Dollar Liquidity Crisis</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/09/18/IndeflationTheDollarLiquidityCrisis.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b66a62d2-b2f6-4470-934e-437706caa3dd.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-09-17T23:47:13.6750000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-09-18T00:03:34.8128277-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">What is <b>"indeflation"</b>?<br /><br />
It's inflation and deflation, at the same time. And it's what's happening right now
in the financial markets.<br /><br />
Let me explain to you how it works. As you may already know, inflation is a loss of
purchasing power. Deflation is the opposite of that. So how can both be happening
at the same time? Isn't that a paradox?<br /><br />
Right now, vast amounts of money are being wiped out as the Greenspan derivatives
bubble finally implodes. There is no doubt that money is disappearing from the system
at an alarming rate. As a result, prices are collapsing in just about every asset
class, including commodities, and the dollar index has rallied from 70 to 80 in just
a few weeks.<br /><br />
Yet, there is inflation going on as we speak. The dollar is losing its purchasing
power. Just look at gasoline prices at the pump. Even though gasoline futures are
now under $2.50/gallon (!), gas prices at the pump are unchanged! Check out the price
of bullion on eBay. Just try to obtain any gold or silver at current spot prices.
You will be faced with severe shortages. Bullion dealers are even offering to buy
back bullion at a premium to the spot price!<br /><br />
Even though most asset prices are about the same as (or lower than) what they were
in 2007, and even though the money supply has not grown at all, the dollar has lost
purchasing power because you cannot obtain the same quantities of REAL STUFF that
you once were able to obtain. The limitation is imposed by supply shortages, rather
than price. The US dollar fantasy has finally slammed against the hard concrete wall
of reality.<br /><br />
The cold reality is that the liquidity of the dollar has evaporated. The dollar is
no longer liquid. Nobody wants dollars, even though the supply of dollars is dwindling.
Basically, demand for dollars has dried up faster than supply. Demand for REAL things,
on the other hand, is stronger than ever.<br /><br />
Remember how everyone was saying in 2007 that the global financial system was suffering
a liquidity crisis? Well, now the US dollar is suffering a liquidity crisis. Soon,
every currency in the world (since they are all backed by the dollar) will also become
illiquid.<br /><br />
Check out the <a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/09/financial-seizure.html">LIBOR
rates</a> this week. They were as high as 6%. The <a href="http://www.business-standard.com/india/storypage.php?autono=334712">money
markets are coming apart at the seams</a>. All of this is indicative of a liquidity
crisis in fiat currencies themselves. All signs are pointing toward <b>indeflation</b>.
The REAL purchasing power of the dollar (and other fiat currencies) is going down
at the same time as prices are falling and the US dollar index is rising.<br /><p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b66a62d2-b2f6-4470-934e-437706caa3dd" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Dire Predictions</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/08/09/DirePredictions.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,eaca9e75-1b02-4a36-9629-91efa76d3136.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-08-08T23:31:03.5230000-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-08-08T23:40:17.9124831-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="Finance" label="Finance" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Finance.aspx" />
    <category term="News" label="News" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,News.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">A most dire thought ran through my mind...
What if the US dollar has bottomed? What will happen between now and the US presidential
elections?<br /><br />
Long-term trends in commodity prices would surely be broken if the US dollar staged
any sort of rally. Already, the long-term bullish trends in palladium and oil have
been broken (trends going back at least two years). Where will commodity prices be
four months from now?<br /><br />
I have some rather shocking predictions which I hope will NOT come true, because if
they do, the US will be going right back to its terminal oil addiction, and the world
will not make the progress towards renewable energy that it needs to make.<br /><br />
I predict that by December, 2009, prices will be as follows (again, I HOPE this doesn't
happen):<br /><br /><b>$55 a barrel oil</b><br /><br />
This has been predicted a while ago by <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QsKUMm906Y">Lindsey
Williams</a>, who has stated that the oil cartel will open up two gigantic oil fields:
one in Indonesia and one in northern Russia. They will both be foreign, so America
will continue to import its oil, when there is still plentiful oil under US soil sitting
untapped.<br /><br /><b>$640 an ounce gold</b><br /><br />
We're going right back to mid-2007 levels. If you're invested in commodities, hold
on to your gold because it will be the one commodity that will decline least. Gold
is far less volatile than the other commodities, so you won't lose much if this scenario
unfolds.<br /><br /><b>Canadian dollar at 84 cents US</b><br /><br />
This one seems almost incredible, but it will happen. The Canadian dollar is heading
down, fast. Why? As commodity prices collapse, so will the Canadian dollar. Already
it has broken down below a key level of support and it's now sitting at just 94 cents
US! The resulting inflation, combined with extremely low oil prices, will push the
Canadian economy over the edge into a recession. The only positive is that manufacturing
would slowly return to Ontario thanks to the weaker dollar. Also, the lower Canadian
dollar will cause Canadian commodity prices to decline less than in the US.<br /><br /><b>Collapsing commodities --<br />
$11 an ounce silver<br />
$1100 an ounce platinum<br />
$200 an ounce palladium<br /></b><br />
Palladium will retreat to levels not seen since 2003. I have a feeling Russia has
way more palladium than it's telling the world. Remember that palladium has only been
mined for 200 years. Therefore, the total world reserves are still very uncertain.
Also, palladium has virtually zero industrial applications. Plus, with cheaper platinum,
the use of palladium as a cheap alternative to platinum in catalytic converters would
decline substantially. Silver is also vulnerable because it's not gold. It's not held
by central banks. The decline in all of these metals will be greater than the decline
in gold. The prices I'm predicting are the absolute worst-case scenario bottom prices.
So you might actually want to hold on to silver and platinum because the decline will
be fairly small from where we are now.<br /><br /><b>And the October surprise will be...</b><br /><br />
The October surprise that will seal McCain's victory in November is this... are you
ready for this?<br /><br /><font size="3"><b>Victory in Iraq</b></font><br /><br />
Yep! There. I said it. In October of 2008, the Iraq war will come to an end. Troops
will be redeployed to Afghanistan temporarily while war plans are drawn up for a war
with Iran, right after McCain's landslide victory.<br /><br />
You may wonder what sort of psychedelic drug I took to give me this level of clairvoyance.
I'll tell you in November, right after all of my predictions are fulfilled :)<br /><p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=eaca9e75-1b02-4a36-9629-91efa76d3136" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>What I would do as US President</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dacris.com/blog/2008/08/08/WhatIWouldDoAsUSPresident.aspx" />
    <id>http://www.dacris.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,a76a4f4a-03cf-4932-854f-534fff8775ff.aspx</id>
    <published>2008-08-08T15:27:34.7832907-04:00</published>
    <updated>2008-08-08T15:27:34.7832907-04:00</updated>
    <category term="Commentary" label="Commentary" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,Commentary.aspx" />
    <category term="History" label="History" scheme="http://www.dacris.com/blog/CategoryView,category,History.aspx" />
    <content type="xhtml">
      <div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I've taken the liberty of coming up with
a list of <i>very specific</i> things that I would do if I were US President...<br /><ul><li>
End all combat operations, in Iraq, Afghanistan, and elsewhere</li><li>
Bring those troops home and station them at the border (80% at the US-Mexico border,
20% at the US-Canada border)</li><li>
Place a permanent cap on military spending during times of peace (or undeclared war)</li><li>
Implement a GST (Goods &amp; Services Tax), a national sales tax of 5% on all discretionary
consumption goods</li><li>
Eliminate income taxes for incomes of $30,000 or less per year</li><li>
Institute a flat 20% income tax on all income exceeding $30,000</li><li>
Institute a 25% tax on gasoline and diesel fuel, to encourage the development of alternative
technologies</li><li>
Give the US Treasury legal authority to produce silver coins and certificates</li><li>
Create a public education campaign on the benefits of using silver as opposed to Federal
Reserve Notes as money</li><li>
Create a 3-year program for phasing out the legal tender status of Federal Reserve
Notes and the Federal Reserve itself</li><li>
Give the federal government the authority to finance itself directly by issuing US
Treasury bonds (denominated in silver dollars) rather than by borrowing from the Federal
Reserve</li><li>
After the use of Federal Reserve Notes is phased out, finance the entire national
debt using 30-year US Treasury bonds denominated in silver dollars<br /></li><li>
Create a system of transfer payments between the states, where rich states give a
small percentage of their tax revenue to poor states</li><li>
Create a 3-year program to move medicare, social security, and prescription drug coverage
to the state level</li><li>
Eliminate the DEA and all anti-drug legislation, legalizing all drugs from cocaine
to marijuana</li><li>
Eliminate the national minimum drinking age</li><li>
Get rid of the FDA and FCC</li><li>
Revamp the government statistics program so that official statistics are realistic
again</li><li>
Create a federal (public) TV + radio station, with a clear mandate to provide balanced
journalism, that competes with the private networks (like the CBC in Canada)<br /></li><li>
Start a 10-year plan to develop an interstate rail system similar to the interstate
highway system</li><li>
Deliver a state of the union speech with the sole purpose of telling the truth to
the American people</li><li>
The speech would discuss false-flag attacks, the US constitution, the Federal Reserve,
secret societies (CFR, Bilderberg, etc.), and who owns the private media</li><li>
The speech would conclude with, "My fellow Americans, we have nothing to fear but
fear itself."</li></ul>
Of course, by the time I get to the silver stuff, I'd probably be assassinated, or
some odd scandal would come up that would force me to resign, or I'd be impeached.
Power always does what it wants folks. The owners of America would never allow any
US President to do what I just stated.<br /><p></p><img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.dacris.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=a76a4f4a-03cf-4932-854f-534fff8775ff" /></div>
    </content>
  </entry>
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